The Head of Operations for a Movie Studio Wants to Determine

question 70

Multiple Choice

The head of operations for a movie studio wants to determine which of two new scripts they should select for their next major production. (Due to budgeting constraints, only one new picture can be undertaken at this time.) She feels that script 1 has a 70 percent chance of earning about $10,000,000 over the long run, but a 30 percent chance of losing $2,000,000. If this movie is successful, then a sequel could also be produced, with an 80 percent chance of earning $5,000,000, but a 20 percent chance of losing $1,000,000. On the other hand, she feels that script 2 has a 60 percent chance of earning $12,000,000, but a 40 percent chance of losing $3,000,000. If successful, its sequel would have a 50 percent chance of earning $8,000,000, but a 50 percent chance of losing $4,000,000. Of course, in either case, if the original movie were a flop, then no sequel would be produced.
What is the expected value of selecting script 1?

• A)$15,000,000
• B)$9,060,000
• C)$8,400,000
• D)$7,200,000
• E)$6,000,000

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Definitions:

Print Media

Traditional forms of publishing and communication, such as newspapers, magazines, and books, that are disseminated through printed documents.

Bureau of Labor

A governmental agency responsible for collecting data on employment, wages, and workplace conditions, providing valuable insights for economic decision-making.

PR Field

The professional domain focused on creating and maintaining a positive public image and strong relationships between an organization and its audience.

Double in Number

To increase twofold or 100% in quantity, size, or amount, often used to describe rapid growth or expansion.