The Head of Operations for a Movie Studio Wants to Determine

question 151

Multiple Choice

The head of operations for a movie studio wants to determine which of two new scripts they should select for their next major production. (Due to budgeting constraints, only one new picture can be undertaken at this time.) She feels that script 1 has a 70 percent chance of earning about $10,000,000 over the long run, but a 30 percent chance of losing $2,000,000. If this movie is successful, then a sequel could also be produced, with an 80 percent chance of earning $5,000,000, but a 20 percent chance of losing $1,000,000. On the other hand, she feels that script 2 has a 60 percent chance of earning $12,000,000, but a 40 percent chance of losing $3,000,000. If successful, its sequel would have a 50 percent chance of earning $8,000,000, but a 50 percent chance of losing $4,000,000. Of course, in either case, if the original movie were a flop, then no sequel would be produced.
What is the expected value of selecting script 2?

• A)$15,000,000
• B)$9,060,000
• C)$8,400,000
• D)$7,200,000
• E)$6,000,000

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Definitions:

Exergonic Redox

Chemical reactions where energy is released, involving the transfer of electrons from one substance to another.

Electron Transport Chain

A series of protein complexes and small molecules that transfer electrons across a membrane within mitochondria to produce ATP.

Aerobic Respiration

The process of producing cellular energy in the presence of oxygen, involving the breakdown of food substances and release of energy.

Glucose

A simple sugar and a key source of energy, being the primary substrate for cellular respiration and the principal product of photosynthesis in plants.