SCENARIO 16-12 a Local Store Developed a Multiplicative Time-Series Model

question 154

Multiple Choice

SCENARIO 16-12 A local store developed a multiplicative time-series model to forecast its revenues in future quarters, using quarterly data on its revenues during the 5-year period from 2009 to 2013.The following is the resulting regression equation: where is the estimated number of contracts in a quarter. X is the coded quarterly value with X = 0 in the first quarter of 2008. is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the first quarter of a year and 0 otherwise. is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the second quarter of a year and 0 otherwise. is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the third quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
-Referring to Scenario 16-12, in testing the significance of the coefficient for in the regression equation (- 0.129) which has a p-value of 0.492.Which of the following is the best interpretation of this result?

• A)The revenues in the first quarter of the year are significantly different from the revenues in an average quarter ( = 0.05).
• B)The revenues in the first quarter of the year are not significantly different from the revenues in an average quarter ( = 0.05).
• C)The revenues in the first quarter of the year are significantly different from the revenues in the fourth quarter ( = 0.05).
• D)The revenues in the first quarter of the year are not significantly different from the revenues in the fourth quarter ( = 0.05).

---

Definitions:

Dynamic

Pertains to the quality of being energetic or forceful, often characterized by constant change, activity, or progress.

Projective Tests

Psychological assessments where subjects respond to ambiguous stimuli, revealing hidden emotions and internal conflicts.

Introjective Tests

Psychological tests that analyze an individual's internal thoughts, feelings, and other mental processes, often through projective techniques.

Rating Scales

Tools or instruments used to measure or evaluate the quantity or degree of an attribute or characteristic.