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Exception reports generated by the lending institution are designed to identify past-due loans. Auditors should review these exception reports to identify an unusually high number of exceptions and old or unusual exceptions that might indicate that:
Illusory Correlation
The tendency to overestimate the link between variables that are related only slightly or not at all.
Hot Hand Player
The belief or phenomenon where a person is perceived to be more likely to succeed in a task (e.g., scoring in sports) because of previous consecutive successes, despite statistical evidence often suggesting randomness.
Coin Flip
A method of making a binary decision or selecting randomly between two options using the outcome of a tossed coin.
Base Rate Fallacy
A cognitive error where individuals ignore general statistical information (base rates) in favor of specific anecdotal information.
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