Use This Information to Answer the Following Questions

question 9

Essay

Use this information to answer the following questions.
A bakery must decide how many pies to prepare for the upcoming weekend.The bakery has the option to make 50,100,or 150 pies.Assume that demand for the pies can be 50,100,or 150.Each pie costs $5 to make and sells for $7.Unsold pies are donated to a nearby charity center.Assume that there is no opportunity cost for lost sales.
-Refer to the information above.Assume that based on historical bids with the defense contractor,the plant manager believes that there is a 65% chance that the bid will be accepted and a 35% chance that the bid will be rejected.
a.Develop a decision tree for this problem.
b.Analyze the decision tree and determine which alternative should be chosen.
c.Using the expected opportunity loss (EOL)criterion,which alternative should be chosen?

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Definitions:

Distribution

The process of making a product or service available for use or consumption by a consumer or business user.

Merchandising Organisations

Businesses that purchase finished goods for resale, making profits through buying and selling activities without manufacturing.

Intangible Outputs

Outputs or results of a process that cannot be physically touched or measured in traditional ways, often relating to services, experiences, or intellectual property.

Upstream Costs

Expenses incurred in the early stages of production, such as exploration and extraction in the oil and gas industry; they can include costs associated with locating natural resources and preparing them for processing.