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The Theoretical Price of a Futures Contract Can Be Determined

question 19

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The theoretical price of a futures contract can be determined on the basis of arbitrage arguments, but is much more complicated to determine than the theoretical price of an option because the option price depends on the expected price volatility of the underlying asset over the life of the option.


Definitions:

Framing Effect

The influence on decision making caused by the way information is presented, rather than by the information itself.

Confirmation Bias

The inclination to seek out, understand, prioritize, and remember data in a manner that supports one's already established views or theories.

Overconfidence Effect

A cognitive bias where an individual's subjective confidence in their judgments is reliably higher than their objective accuracy, often leading to misjudgments and errors in decision-making.

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