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Consider the following time series:
a. Use a multiple regression model to develop an equation to account for linear trend and seasonal effects in the data. To capture seasonal effects, use the dummy variables Qtr1 = 1 if quarter 1, 0 otherwise; Qtr2 = 1 if quarter 2, 0 otherwise; Qtr3 = 1 if quarter 3, 0 otherwise; and create a variable t such that t = 1 for quarter 1 in year 1, t = 2 for quarter 2 in year 1, … ,t = 12 for quarter 4 in year 3.
b. Compute the quarterly forecasts for next year based on the model developed in part a.
Medicare Portion
The Medicare portion is the share of payroll taxes collected from employers and employees that is allocated to fund the Medicare program.
Social Security Portion
The part of payroll taxes paid by employers and employees that goes towards funding the Social Security program.
Net Pay
The amount of an employee's earnings that remains after deductions, such as taxes and retirement contributions, have been applied.
FICA Social Security Tax
A United States federal tax required to be withheld from an employee's paycheck to fund the Social Security program, which provides benefits for retirees, the disabled, and children of deceased workers.
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