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Democratic Transition Game
Consider the case that you are a soft-liner in an authoritarian regime who would like to introduce a policy of liberalization. Your goal is to co-opt the opposition into a broadened dictatorship, not to transition to democracy. You are a dictator, not a democrat!
1. If you open and civil society enters, then you achieve your objective of a Broadened Dictatorship.
2. If you open and civil society organizes, then you need to decide whether to democratize and become a full democracy or to repress.
3. A successful repression will lead to a narrow dictatorship, whereas an unsuccessful repression will lead to insurgency.
4. Repression is successful only if civil society is weak.
Figure 1
Figure 2
-What is the outcome of the game shown in Figure 2?
Task Simplicity
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Tip-of-the-Tongue Phenomenon
A common cognitive experience where a person is unable to fully recall a familiar word or name, despite feeling that retrieval is imminent.
Cryptomnesia
A memory bias where a person mistakenly believes their ideas are novel when they are actually sourced from forgotten memories.
Retroactive Interference
A scenario where the understanding of new information obstructs the retrieval of earlier learned knowledge.
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