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Look at the Results in Table 1 Below -Imagine You Are Watching a Political Talk Show (Perhaps One

question 1

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Look at the results in Table 1 below.
Table 1: Culture and Democratic Survival
Dependent variable: Probability of Democratic Survival


 Independent variables  Model 1  Muslim majority 0.46(0.28)  Catholic majority 0.41(0.20)  GDP per capita 0.0001(0.00003)  Growth in GDP per capita 0.02(0.01)  Oil producer 0.43(0.31)  Effective number of ethnic groups 0.09(0.05)  Constant 1.88(0.28)  Observations 1784 Log-likelihood 161.41 Robust standard errors in parentheses. "greater than 90% significant;  greater than 95% significant;  greater than 99% significant. \begin{array}{lc}\hline \text { Independent variables } & \text { Model 1 } \\\hline & \\\text { Muslim majority } & -0.46(0.28) \\\text { Catholic majority } & -0.41^{*}(0.20) \\\text { GDP per capita } & 0.0001^{* *}(0.00003) \\\text { Growth in GDP per capita } & 0.02^{* * *}(0.01) \\\text { Oil producer } & 0.43(0.31) \\\text { Effective number of ethnic groups } & -0.09 * * *(0.05) \\\text { Constant } & 1.88^{*}(0.28) \\\text { Observations } & 1784 \\\text { Log-likelihood } & -161.41 \\\hline \text { Robust standard errors in parentheses. "greater than } 90 \% \text { significant; } \\{ }^{* *} \text { greater than } 95 \% \text { significant; }{ }^{* *} \text { greater than } 99 \% \text { significant. } \\\hline\end{array}
-Imagine you are watching a political talk show (perhaps one of the ones that are shown on Sunday morning, or perhaps The Daily Show) and the pundits are discussing problems with the democratization process in Iraq. One of the guests claims that a key factor making it unlikely that democracy could survive in Iraq (even if it were established there) . is that there are too many different ethnic groups in the country. Does the empirical evidence in Table 1 support such a claim?


Definitions:

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Actions or behaviors that are illegal or morally incorrect according to the law and ethical standards.

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An act of civil misconduct that inflicts loss or damage on a victim, leading to the legal responsibility of the perpetrator who carried out the act.

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Consent for an action that is not explicitly granted but inferred from actions or circumstances.

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