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Definitions:

Exponential Smoothing

A forecasting method that uses weighted averages of past observations, with the weights decaying exponentially as the observations get older, to predict future trends.

Alpha

A measure of the active return on an investment compared to a market index, used to assess the performance of an investment such as a stock or portfolio.

MAD

An acronym for Mean Absolute Deviation, which measures the average magnitude of errors in a set of predictions, without regard to direction.

Weighted Moving Average

A method used in statistics and analysis that calculates the average of a data set by giving different weights to different data points.

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