Anders Is Betting Mischa on Whether a Tossed Coin Will

question 47

Multiple Choice

Anders is betting Mischa on whether a tossed coin will land on heads or tails.Anders has bet heads the last four times and has lost each time.If on the next toss he bets heads again and says,"It's got to be heads,heads is overdue," what does his reasoning illustrate

• A) the conjunction fallacy
• B) the gambler's fallacy 
• C) the base rate fallacy
• D) the overestimation fallacy

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Definitions:

Sims' Position

A body position where the patient lies on their left side with the right knee and thigh drawn up, commonly used for rectal examinations.

Tympanic Electronic Thermometer

A thermometer that measures body temperature via the ear canal, utilizing the tympanic membrane's proximity to the brain for an accurate reading.

Axillary

Pertains to the area under the arm, where the upper limb attaches to the shoulder.

Orally

Pertaining to the mouth; taken through or affecting the mouth, as in oral medication.