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The Following Is an Example of a Credit Scoring Model

question 89

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The following is an example of a credit scoring model to estimate the probability of debt rescheduling for country I: Pi = 0.25 DSRi + 0.17 IRi - 0.03 INVRi + 0.84 VAREXi + 0.93 MGi
Where Piis the probability of rescheduling country I's debt; DSR is the country's debt service ratio; IR is the country's import ratio; INVR is the country's investment ratio; VAREX is the country's variance of export revenue; and MG is the country's rate of growth of the domestic money supply.
What is an important determinant of rescheduling probability if the country is providing several incentives to increase domestic savings?


Definitions:

GICs

Guaranteed Investment Certificates, a type of Canadian investment that offers a fixed return rate over a predetermined period.

Simple Interest

Interest determined exclusively on the original amount, or on the remaining amount of the principal that is not yet paid.

Financial Position

A snapshot of what a company owns and owes at a specific point in time, encompassing assets, liabilities, and equity.

Promissory Note

A Promissory Note is a financial instrument that contains a written promise by one party to pay another party a definite sum of money either on demand or at a specified future date.

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