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When There Is a Significant Upward or Downward Trend in the Data,the

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When there is a significant upward or downward trend in the data,the two best forecasting models are adjusted exponential smoothing and linear regression.


Definitions:

Ceteris Paribus

A Latin phrase meaning "all other things being equal," used in economics to analyze the effect of one variable on another while holding other relevant factors constant.

Economic Variables

Quantitative measures that represent a characteristic of the economy or a part of the economy, influencing or describing economic activity.

Positive Economic Analysis

An objective approach to economics that focuses on describing and explaining economic phenomena without making normative judgments.

Fallacy of Composition

Erroneous view that what is true for the individual (or the part) will also be true for the group (or the whole).

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