A Gentleman Farmer Maniacally Works on Academic Projects to Raise

question 59

Multiple Choice

A gentleman farmer maniacally works on academic projects to raise funds for his true passion,farming.He has identified seven tasks and developed three time estimates (all in days) of the next big project on the farm,replacing the fence at the comedy pasture.Tasks,precedence requirements,and time estimates are shown in the table.What is the expected completion time of the project? $\begin{array}{|l|l|l|l|l|}\hline&\text { Optimistic} & \text { Most Likely } & \text { Pessimistic }\\ \text { Activity } & \text { time } & \text { time } & \text { time } & \text { Predecessor }\\ \hline \text { Corner Posts } & 4 & 5 & 6 & - \\\hline \text { String Line } & 7 & 8 & 9 & -- \\\hline \text { Dig Holes } & 10 & 12 & 14 & \text { Corner Posts } \\\hline \text { Plant Posts } & 11 & 14 & 17 & \text { String Line } \\\hline \text { Weld Top Bar } & 8 & 11 & 14 & \text { String Line } \\\hline & & & & \text { Dig Holes, Plant } \\ \text { Paint } & 9 & 11 & 13 & \text { Posts } \\\hline \text { Tack Wire } & 9 &12& 16& \text { Weld Top Bar }\\\hline\end{array}$

• A)32 days
• B)33 days
• C)34 days
• D)35 days

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Definitions:

Representativeness Heuristic

A cognitive shortcut where the likelihood of an object belonging to a category is judged based on how representative it is of that category.

Belief Perseverance

Belief perseverance is the psychological phenomenon where individuals maintain a belief despite new information or evidence that contradicts or disproves it.

Algorithms

A set of rules or a process followed in calculations or problem-solving, especially by a computer.

Intuition

The ability to understand or know something immediately, without the need for conscious reasoning; a 'gut feeling.'