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Suppose that we have identified three important systematic risk factors given by exports,inflation,and industrial production. In the beginning of the year,growth in these three factors is estimated at -1%,2.5%,and 3.5% respectively. However,actual growth in these factors turns out to be 1%,-2%,and 2%. The factor betas are given by βEX = 1.8,βI = 0.7,and βIP = 1.0. What would the stock's total return be if the actual growth in each of the factors was equal to growth expected?
Assume no unexpected news on the patent.
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