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Calculation of Bankruptcy Probability Suppose a Linear Probability Model You

question 101

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Calculation of Bankruptcy Probability Suppose a linear probability model you have developed finds there are two factors influencing the past bankruptcy behavior of firms: the debt ratio and the profit margin. Based on past bankruptcy experience, the linear probability model is estimated as: PDi = .23 (debt ratio) + .08 (profit margin)
A firm you are thinking of lending to has a debt ratio of 60 percent and a profit margin of 12 percent. Calculate the firm's expected probability of default, or bankruptcy.

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Definitions:

Odd Pricing

A pricing strategy that sets prices at odd numbers just below round numbers to make them appear smaller and more appealing to buyers.

Cost-Based Pricing

Formulas that calculate total costs per unit and then add markups to cover overhead costs and generate profits.

Personal Selling

A direct form of marketing that involves a salesperson presenting the benefits of a product directly to a customer in order to make a sale.

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