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Consider Two Firms with One-Year Probabilities of Default Of p1=0.10p _ { 1 } = 0.10

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Consider two firms with one-year probabilities of default of p1=0.10p _ { 1 } = 0.10 and p2=0.05p _ { 2 } = 0.05 ,respectively.The conditional probability of default in one year is Pr[D1D2]=0.7\operatorname { Pr } \left[ D _ { 1 } \mid D _ { 2 } \right] = 0.7 .What is the probability of a first-to-default basket option that pays $100 if any one firm defaults within a year? (Assume zero discount rates. )


Definitions:

Error In Billing

Mistakes or inaccuracies in the amount charged on an invoice or billing statement.

Services Rendered

The provision of services to a customer or client, which can be invoiced once the service has been completed.

Subsidiary Ledger

A detailed ledger that contains all the transaction details of a specific account, which rolls up into the general ledger.

Controlling Account

A controlling account is a summary account in the general ledger that consolidates and reflects the total balance of all subsidiary accounts related to it.

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