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You Are Using an Exponential Smoothing Model for Forecasting

question 86

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You are using an exponential smoothing model for forecasting.The running sum of the forecast error statistics (RSFE) are calculated each time a forecast is generated.You find the last RSFE to be 34.Originally, the forecasting model used was selected because of its relatively low MAD of 0.4.To determine when it is time to re-evaluate the usefulness of the exponential smoothing model, you compute tracking signals.Which of the following is the resulting tracking signal?


Definitions:

Oligopoly

A market structure characterized by a small number of firms controlling a large market share, leading to limited competition.

Perfectly Competitive Industry

An industry that meets the criteria for perfect competition, meaning it includes many small firms producing identical products and allows for free entry and exit.

Total Surplus

The sum of consumer surplus and producer surplus in a market; it measures the total benefit to society from the production and consumption of goods and services.

AC

Average Cost, which is the total cost of production divided by the quantity of output produced.

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