Consider the Following Decision Scenario If You Feel That P(#1) =

question 1

Short Answer

Consider the following decision scenario: $$\begin{array} { | l | l | l | l | l | } \hline { \text { Alternative } } & { \text { State of Nature } } & & \\\hline & \# 1 & \# 2 & \# 3 & \# 4 \\ \hline \text { A } & 1 & 0 & 1 & 6 \\\hline \text { B } & 1 & 5 & 4 & 2 \\\hline \text { C } & 3 & 2 & 2 & 3 \\\hline\end{array}$$ If you feel that P(#1) = .4, P(#2) = .3, P(#3) = .2, and P(#4) = .1, what is your expected payoff under certainty?

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Definitions:

Rational Expectations Theorists

Economists who believe that individuals and firms use all available information to make forecasts and decisions, leading markets to balance out over time.

Policy Rules

Guidelines or principles that govern the formulation and implementation of monetary and fiscal policies by authorities.

Discretionary Policy

Economic policies based on the discretionary judgment of policymakers rather than set rules, often involving fiscal or monetary actions.

Budget Deficit

This occurs when a government's expenditures exceed its revenues during a specific budget period, leading to borrowing or using saved reserves.