The Business Analyst for Video Sales, Inc What Is the Forecast for This Year Using Exponential Smoothing

question 41

Multiple Choice

The business analyst for Video Sales, Inc. wants to forecast this year's demand for DVD decoders based on the following historical data: $$\begin{array} { l l } \text { Year } & \text { Demand } \\\hline \text { 5 years ago } & 900 \\\text { 4 years ago } & 700 \\\text { 3 years ago } & 600 \\\text { 2 years ago } & 500 \\\text { Last year } & 300\end{array}$$ What is the forecast for this year using exponential smoothing with alpha = .4, if the forecast for two years ago was 750?

• A) 163
• B) 180
• C) 300
• D) 420
• E) 510

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Definitions:

Deterrent

Something that discourages or prevents a particular action or behavior through fear of the consequences.

Cost Effective

A measure of how effectively resources (money, time, effort) are used to achieve a desired outcome, implying the best possible results with minimal waste.

Rage

Intense, uncontrolled anger that can manifest in aggressive behavior or emotional outbursts.

Moral Panic

A widespread feeling of fear, often irrational, that some evil threatens the well-being of society, leading to demands for strong measures to be taken.