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A Manager Has Been Using a Certain Technique to Forecast

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A manager has been using a certain technique to forecast demand for gallons of ice cream for the past six periods. Actual and predicted amounts are shown below. Would a naive forecast have produced better results?  Period  Demand  Forecast 190872858839187492895959068892\begin{array} { l l l } \text { Period } & \text { Demand } & \text { Forecast } \\\hline 1 & 90 & 87 \\2 & 85 & 88 \\3 & 91 & 87 \\4 & 92 & 89 \\5 & 95 & 90 \\6 & 88 & 92\end{array}


Definitions:

Prisoner's Dilemma

A situation in game theory where two individuals acting in their own self-interest do not produce the optimal outcome for either party.

Oligopolies

Market structures characterized by a small number of firms controlling a large majority of the market share and having significant impact on prices and production.

Pure Monopolies

Market structures characterized by a single seller that faces no competition, typically due to high barriers to entry.

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