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Kinston Industries has come up with a new mountain bike prototype and is ready to go ahead with pilot production and test marketing.The pilot production and test marketing phase will last for one year and cost $500,000.Your management team believes that there is a 50% chance that the test marketing will be successful and that there will be sufficient demand for the new mountain bike.If the test-marketing phase is successful,then Kinston Industries will invest $3 million in year one to build a plant that will generate expected annual after-tax cash flows of $400,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two.If the test marketing is not successful,Kinston can still go ahead and build the new plant,but the expected annual after-tax cash flows would be only $200,000 in perpetuity beginning in year two.Kinston has the option to stop the project at any time and sell the prototype mountain bike to an overseas competitor for $300,000.Kinston's cost of capital is 10%.
-Assuming that Kinston has the ability to sell the prototype in year one for $300,000,draw a decision tree detailing the Kinston Industries Mountain Bike Project.


Definitions:

Flows of Money

The movement of money between entities in an economy, including spending, investing, and financing activities.

Overstated Accounts

Financial accounts or records reported with higher values than they actually possess, often leading to a misrepresentation of financial health.

Transactions

Acts of buying, selling, or exchanging goods, services, or financial assets in the course of business.

Assets

are resources with economic value that an individual, corporation, or country owns or controls with the expectation that it will provide future benefit.

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