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A One-Year Bond Currently Pays 5% Interest

question 59

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A one-year bond currently pays 5% interest.It's expected that it will pay 4.5% next year and 4% the following year.The two-year term premium is 0.2% while the three-year term premium is 0.35%.What is the interest rate on a two-year bond according to the liquidity premium theory?


Definitions:

Probability

A measure of the likelihood that an event will occur, expressed as a number between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates impossibility and 1 indicates certainty.

Good Economy

A state of economic health characterized by strong growth, low unemployment, and stable prices.

Risk-Free Rate

The presumptive return on an investment without risk, usually demonstrated by the interest rates on state securities.

Expected Return

The anticipated return on an investment, calculated based on the probabilities of various outcomes.

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