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Assume That the Average Annual Historical Return for Shares That

question 36

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Assume that the average annual historical return for shares that comprise the Australian All Ordinaries index is 10.5%, and the standard deviation of returns is 18.5%. Based on these numbers what is a 95% prediction interval for 2016 returns?

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Definitions:

Compounded Monthly

The process where the interest earned on an investment is added to the principal each month, so that the interest for the next month is calculated on the total.

Interest

The cost of borrowing money, typically expressed as a percentage of the amount borrowed over a period of time.

Average Increase

The mean amount added over a series of increments, often used to measure growth or inflation over time.

Income Yield

The annual income from an investment divided by the current price of the investment, often expressed as a percentage, indicating the return from dividend payments or interest.

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