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Assume That the Average Annual Historical Return for Shares That

question 36

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Assume that the average annual historical return for shares that comprise the Australian All Ordinaries index is 10.5%, and the standard deviation of returns is 18.5%. Based on these numbers what is a 95% prediction interval for 2016 returns?


Definitions:

Dependence

A situation in which the condition or fortunes of a person or entity are affected by another.

Centralization

The concentration of control and decision-making authority in a centralized location or group within an organization.

Authority

The capacity to direct, adjudicate, and ensure observance.

Consistency

The quality of achieving a level of performance or behavior that does not vary greatly in quality over time.

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