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Instruction 14-14
Business Closures in Perth from 2005 to 2010 200510200611200713200819200924201035\begin{array} { l l } 2005 & 10 \\2006 & 11 \\2007 & 13 \\2008 & 19 \\2009 & 24 \\2010 & 35\end{array}

question 80

Short Answer

Instruction 14-14
Business closures in Perth from 2005 to 2010 were:
200510200611200713200819200924201035\begin{array} { l l } 2005 & 10 \\2006 & 11 \\2007 & 13 \\2008 & 19 \\2009 & 24 \\2010 & 35\end{array}
Microsoft Excel was used to fit both first-order and second-order autoregressive models,resulting in the following partial outputs:
SUMMARY OUTPUT - 2nd Order Model
\quad\quad\quad\quad\quad\quad\quad Coefficients
 Intercept 5.77 X Variable 1 0.80 X Variable 2 1.14\begin{array} { l r } \text { Intercept } & - 5.77 \\ \text { X Variable 1 } & 0.80 \\ \text { X Variable 2 } & 1.14 \end{array}

SUMMARY OUTPUT - 1st 1 ^ { \text {st } } Order Model
\quad\quad\quad\quad Coefficients
Intercept 4.16\quad - 4.16
X Variable 11.591 \quad 1.59
-Referring to Instruction 14-14,the value of the MAD for the first-order autoregressive model is ________.


Definitions:

U.S. Current Account Deficit

A measurement of the country’s international trade where the value of the goods and services it imports exceeds the value of the products it exports.

Gold Standard

A monetary system in which the standard economic unit of account is based on a fixed quantity of gold, historically used by various countries.

Monetary Policy

The process by which the monetary authority of a country, like the central bank, controls the supply of money, often targeting an inflation rate or interest rate to ensure economic stability and growth.

Investments Abroad

Financial allocations by individuals or companies in business interests or assets in foreign countries.

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