Instruction 12-7
an Investment Specialist Claims That If One Holds

question 165

Multiple Choice

Instruction 12-7
An investment specialist claims that if one holds a portfolio that moves in opposite direction to the market index like the All Ordinaries Index,then it is possible to reduce the variability of the portfolio's return.In other words,one can create a portfolio with positive returns but less exposure to risk.A sample of 26 years of the All Ordinaries index and a portfolio consisting of stocks of private prisons,which are believed to be negatively related to the All Ordinaries index,is collected.A regression analysis was performed by regressing the returns of the prison stocks portfolio (Y) on the returns of All Ordinaries index (X) to prove that the prison stocks portfolio is negatively related to the All Ordinaries index at a 5% level of significance.The results are given in the following Microsoft Excel output.
$$\begin{array} { | l | r | r | r | r | } \hline & \text { Coefficients } & \text { Standard Error } & \text { T Stat } & { \text { P-value } } \\\hline \text { Intercept } & 4.866004258 & 0.35743609 & 13.61363441 & 8.7932 \mathrm { E } - 13 \\\hline \mathrm { S } \& \mathrm { P } & - 0.502513506 & 0.071597152 & - 7.01862425 & 2.94942 \mathrm { E } - 07 \\\hline\end{array}$$
-Referring to Instruction 12-7,which of the following will be a correct conclusion?

• A)You cannot reject the null hypothesis and,therefore,conclude that there is sufficient evidence to show that the prisons stock portfolio and All Ordinaries index are negatively related.
• B)You can reject the null hypothesis and,therefore,conclude that there is sufficient evidence to show that the prisons stock portfolio and All Ordinaries index are negatively related.
• C)You can reject the null hypothesis and conclude that there is not sufficient evidence to show that the prisons stock portfolio and All Ordinaries index are negatively related.
• D)You cannot reject the null hypothesis and,therefore,conclude that there is not sufficient evidence to show that the prisons stock portfolio and All Ordinaries index are negatively related.

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Definitions:

Mathematical Algorithm

A finite sequence of well-defined instructions typically used to solve a class of specific problems or to perform a computation.

Expert Demand Forecast

A projection or estimation of future demand for goods or services based on analyses conducted by experts in the field.

Forecasting Methods

Techniques utilized to predict future events or trends, including sales, economic conditions, and consumer behavior predictions.

Ratio Analysis

A quantitative analysis of information contained in a company’s financial statements, used to evaluate the overall financial condition and performance of a business.