An Example of the Overconfidence Bias Is

question 30

Multiple Choice

An example of the overconfidence bias is:

• A)Bill's tendency to consider evidence that supports his position on illegal immigration,but disregards evidence that refutes his beliefs.
• B)Carol and her team have been working on a new product for several years and one expensive prototype has become their main focus.When evaluating the choices for launch,the group judges the top prototype as the best one for launch over less expensive options.
• C)Joe makes a stock price prediction and believes that there is only a 5% chance that his estimate is wrong; overlooking recent articles about the bad financial health of the business.
• D)a judge in a criminal court hears over 80 cases a day.The defendants whose cases are heard late in the day were given harsher sentences.

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Definitions:

Nonsense Sounds

Nonsense sounds are vocal expressions or sequences of sounds that do not have meaningful linguistic content, often used in the study of phonetics and language development.

Syntax

The set of rules, principles, and processes that govern the structure of sentences in a given language, especially the order of words.

Decontextualized Language

Language that is understood without the need for visual context or situational cues, typically more abstract and formal.

Overgeneralization

The cognitive error of applying a general rule too widely, often leading to incorrect conclusions or misapplications.