If You Are Familiar with National Statistics Showing That 95

question 4

Multiple Choice

If you are familiar with national statistics showing that 95% of students with your qualifications eventually end up with a tenured position, but you still feel like your own chances of tenure are slim, which of the following might best describe your decision processes?

• A) Failure to adequately adjust from an initial anchor
• B) Ignoring base-rate information
• C) Conjunction fallacy
• D) None of the above