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When the Decomposition Model, ,Is Applied,forecasts Are Made as

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When the decomposition model, When the decomposition model,   ,is applied,forecasts are made as   ,where   represents the estimated trend for seasonally adjusted time series for period t,and   is the seasonal index for period t. ,is applied,forecasts are made as When the decomposition model,   ,is applied,forecasts are made as   ,where   represents the estimated trend for seasonally adjusted time series for period t,and   is the seasonal index for period t. ,where When the decomposition model,   ,is applied,forecasts are made as   ,where   represents the estimated trend for seasonally adjusted time series for period t,and   is the seasonal index for period t. represents the estimated trend for seasonally adjusted time series for period t,and When the decomposition model,   ,is applied,forecasts are made as   ,where   represents the estimated trend for seasonally adjusted time series for period t,and   is the seasonal index for period t. is the seasonal index for period t.


Definitions:

Median Difference

The middle value separating the higher half from the lower half of a data set's difference distribution.

Sign Test

A non-parametric statistical test used to evaluate whether the median of a population differs significantly from a specified value.

Significance Level

The threshold used in hypothesis testing to determine whether to reject the null hypothesis, commonly denoted as alpha (α).

Supermarkets

Large retail stores that sell a wide variety of goods, including food, household items, and often clothing.

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