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A large automobile parts supplier keeps track of the demand for a particular part needed by its customers, automobile manufacturers. The time series plot below shows monthly demand for this part (in thousands) for a five year period. a. Identify the dominant time series component(s) in the data.
b. Suppose that the single exponential smoothing (SES) model was applied to these data. Below are time series graphs showing SES results using two different smoothing constants (α = 0.2 and α = 0.8). In which application is a larger value of α used?
i. ii.
c. What forecasting method may be a better choice than SES for these data? Explain.
Relevant To
Pertaining to or connected with the matter at hand or the subject being considered.
Transactional Leadership
A management style focused on supervision, organization, and performance, where leaders promote compliance through rewards and punishments.
Rewards
Benefits, whether tangible or intangible, given to individuals as recognition for their efforts, achievements, or behavior.
Comply With
To act in accordance with a wish, command, law, or request.
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