Consider Two Firms with One-Year Probabilities of Default Of $p _ { 1 } = 0.10$

question 24

Multiple Choice

Consider two firms with one-year probabilities of default of $p _ { 1 } = 0.10$ and $p _ { 2 } = 0.05$ , respectively. The conditional probability of default in one year is $\operatorname { Pr } \left[ D _ { 1 } \mid D _ { 2 } \right] = 0.7$ . What is the correlation of default of these two firms closest to?

• A) 0.25
• B) 0.35
• C) 0.45
• D) 0.55

---

Definitions:

Cash Payback Period

The time it takes for an investment to generate cash flow sufficient to recover its initial cost.

Net Income

The total profit of a company after all expenses, including taxes and operating expenses, have been subtracted from total revenue.

Net Present Value

A method used in capital budgeting to assess the profitability of an investment by calculating the present value of expected cash flows minus the initial investment cost.

Average Rate of Return

A metric used to evaluate the profitability of an investment, calculated by dividing the average annual profit by the initial investment cost.