A forecaster used the regression equation 
and quarterly sales data for 1996I-2013IV t = 1,...,64) for an appliance manufacturer to obtain the results shown below.Q is quarterly sales,and 
and 
are dummy variables for quarters I,II,and III. 
What is the estimated intercept of the trend line in the second quarter?
Definitions:
Spontaneous Recovery
The reappearance of a conditioned response after a period of apparent extinction, without further conditioning.
Variable-Ratio Reinforcement Schedule
A reinforcement schedule in which the number of responses required for a reward varies, leading to high and consistent rates of response.
Fixed-Interval Reinforcement
A reinforcement schedule in which rewards are delivered at consistent, predetermined intervals of time, promoting a pattern of behavior.
Tantrums
Explosive emotional outbursts, often characterized by yelling, crying, and anger, typically seen in children but can occur at any age.
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