Ray Crofford Is Evaluating Investment Alternatives for the $100,000 Which $\quad$

question 13

Multiple Choice

Ray Crofford is evaluating investment alternatives for the $100,000 which he inherited from his grandfather.His investment advisor has identified two alternatives and constructed the following tables which show (1) expected profits (in $10,000's) for various market conditions and their probabilities, and (2) the advisor's track record on predicting Bull and Bear markets. $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$ $\quad$$\text { Actual Market }$
$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\text { Market Condition }$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\quad$$\text {Advisor's}$$\quad$$\text {Condition}$
$\begin{array}{c}\begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|}\hline \text { Investment } & \text { Bull (0.8) } & \text { Bear (0.2) } & \text { EMV } \\\hline \text { Bonds } & 12 & -3 & 9 \\\hline \text { Stocks } & 25 & -30 & 14 \\\hline \end{array}&\begin{array}{|c|c|c|}\hline\text { Prediction } & \text { Bull }\left(S_{1}\right) & \text { Bear }\left(S_{2}\right) \\\hline \text { Bull }\left(F_{1}\right) & 0.9 & 0.3 \\\hline \text { Bear }\left(F_{2}\right) & 0.1 & 0.7\\\hline \end{array}\end{array}$

If the advisor predicts a Bull market the EMV of the Stocks alternative, using revised probabilities, is closest to________.

• A)$168,900
• B)$207,650
• C)$157,300
• D)$306,000
• E)$134,650

Calculate savings for given levels of disposable income.

Understand and calculate the Average Propensity to Save (APS) and the Average Propensity to Consume (APC).

Define and calculate the Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) and the Marginal Propensity to Save (MPS).

Determine the level of disposable income at which induced consumption, savings, and the APS are zero.

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Definitions:

Unemployment Rate

The percentage of actively job-seeking, unemployed individuals within the labor force.

Natural Rate of Unemployment

Refers to the level of unemployment consistent with a stable rate of inflation, representing the proportion of the labor force that is unemployed due to factors like job mismatch or natural turnover rather than economic downturns.

Unemployment Rate

The percentage of the labor force that is jobless and seeking employment.

Labor Market

The labor market refers to the supply of and demand for labor, where employees provide the labor and employers provide the jobs.