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TABLE 16-13
A local store developed a multiplicative time-series model to forecast its revenues in future quarters, using quarterly data on its revenues during the 4-year period from 1998 to 2002. The following is the resulting regression equation:
log10Y^ = 6.102 + 0.012 X - 0.129 Q1 - 0.054 Q2 + 0.098 Q3
where
Y^ is the estimated number of contracts in a quarter
X is the coded quarterly value with X = 0 in the first quarter of 1998.
Q1 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the first quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Q2 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the second quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
Q3 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the third quarter of a year and 0 otherwise.
-Referring to Table 16-13, to obtain a forecast for the third quarter of 2003 using the model, which of the following sets of values should be used in the regression equation?
Invested
The method of placing financial resources in expectation of yield or profit.
Compounded Semi-annually
This refers to the process of applying interest to an initial sum plus any previously earned interest, and this action occurs twice a year.
Compounded Quarterly
Refers to the process of calculating and adding interest to the principal balance four times a year.
Eight Year Note
A debt instrument with a fixed interest rate and a maturity of eight years, at which point the principal sum is repaid to investors.
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