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Consider the Probabilities of People Taking HIV Tests

question 35

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Consider the probabilities of people taking HIV tests. Assume that the true probability of having HIV for all people who take the test is 4%. If HIV tests give a positive result in 99% of the cases in which the person has HIV and give a negative result in 99% of the cases in which the person does not have HIV, what is the probability that a person who gets a positive test result does not have HIV?


Definitions:

Accumulated Depreciation

The aggregate depreciation charges applied to a fixed asset from when it first came into operation.

Commercial Substance

A concept in accounting that occurs when the future cash flows or the economic circumstances of a transaction change as a result of the transaction.

Disposal

The act of getting rid of an asset through sale, trade, abandonment, or other methods, often resulting in the recognition of a gain or loss for accounting purposes.

Book Value

Book value is the net value of a company's assets as recorded on its balance sheet, often contrasted with market or actual value.

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