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Exhibit 13 In Addition a Regression Analysis Indicates the Following Relationship Between

question 59

Multiple Choice

Exhibit 13.1
Use the Information Below for the Following Problem(S)
Assume that you are an analyst for the U.S. Autoparts Industry. Consider the following information that you propose to use to obtain an estimate of year 2002 EPS for the U.S. Autoparts Industry:
Personal consumption expendituresPersonal consumption expendituresgrowthIndustry Sales per shareIndustry Operating profit marginIndustry Depreciation/Fixed AssetsIndustry Fixed asset turnoverInterest rateIndustry Total asset turnoverIndustry Debt/Total assetsIndustry Tax ratebeginarrayrYear 2003$6,800 Billion$525endarraybeginarrayrEstimatedYear 20041.5%15%8.25%36%1.245%36%endarray\begin{array}{lrr}\begin{array}{l}\\\\\text{Personal consumption expenditures}\\\text{Personal consumption expenditures}\\ \text{growth}\\\text{Industry Sales per share}\\\text{Industry Operating profit margin}\\\text{Industry Depreciation/Fixed Assets}\\\text{Industry Fixed asset turnover}\\\text{Interest rate}\\\text{Industry Total asset turnover}\\\text{Industry Debt/Total assets}\\\text{Industry Tax rate}\\\end{array}\\begin{array}{r}\\\text{Year 2003}\\\hline\text{\$6,800 Billion}\\\\\\ \$ 525 \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\end{array}\\begin{array}{r}Estimated\\\text{Year 2004}\\\hline\\ 1.5 \% \\\\\\ 15 \% \\8.25 \% \\3\\6 \% \\1.2 \\45 \% \\36\%\end{array}\\end{array}

In addition a regression analysis indicates the following relationship between growth in industry sales per share and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) growth is
%D Sales per share = 0.02 + 1.5(%DPCE)
-Refer to Exhibit 13.1.Calculate the industry year 2004 EBITDA per share.


Definitions:

Observations

Data points or recorded information obtained from experimental or study designs, representing individual examples of the variables being studied.

Median

The middle value in a list of numbers, which separates the higher half from the lower half.

First Quartile

The value below which 25% of the data falls in a data set, representing the median of the lower half of the dataset.

25th Percentile

Represents the value below which 25% of the data points in a dataset fall.

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