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The President of State University Wants to Forecast Student Enrollments

question 98

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The president of State University wants to forecast student enrollments for this academic year based on the following historical data:  Year  Enrollments  5 Years ago 15,000 4 Years ago 16,000 3 Years ago 18,000 2 Years ago 20,000 Last Year 21,000\begin{array} { | l | c | } \hline \text { Year } & \text { Enrollments } \\\hline \text { 5 Years ago } & 15,000 \\\hline \text { 4 Years ago } & 16,000 \\\hline \text { 3 Years ago } & 18,000 \\\hline \text { 2 Years ago } & 20,000 \\\hline \text { Last Year } & 21,000 \\\hline\end{array}
What is the forecast for this year using the naive approach?


Definitions:

Interdependent

The mutual reliance between two or more entities, where changes in one affect the others.

Perfect Competitors

Refers to businesses in a market structure where they sell homogenous products, face no barriers to entry or exit, and none of them can influence the market price.

Smaller Output

Production of fewer goods or services, often indicating a reduction in manufacturing or business activity levels.

Concentration Ratios

Measures that indicate the extent of market control by the largest firms within an industry, used to assess competitiveness.

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