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Suppose that we have identified three important systematic risk factors given by exports,inflation,and industrial production. In the beginning of the year,growth in these three factors is estimated at -1%,2.5%,and 3.5% respectively. However,actual growth in these factors turns out to be 1%,-2%,and 2%. The factor betas are given by βEX = 1.8,βI = 0.7,and βIP = 1.0. Calculate the stock's total return if the company announces that they had an industrial accident and the operating facilities will close down for some time thus resulting in a loss by the company of 7% in return.
Frequency Polygon
A graphical representation of the distribution of numerical data. It is a line graph of class frequencies plotted against mid-point values.
Normal Distribution
A bell-shaped distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence.
Outliers
Data points that significantly differ from other observations in a dataset, potentially indicating a measurement error or a different underlying process.
Central Tendency
A statistical measure that identifies a single value as representative of an entire distribution of data, aiming to provide a description of the set’s overall behavior.
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