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Instruction 11.2:Use the information for the following problem(s) .
Oregon Transportation Inc. (OTI) has just signed a contract to purchase light rail cars from a manufacturer in Germany for euro 2,500,000. The purchase was made in June with payment due six months later in December. Because this is a sizable contract for the firm and because the contract is in euros rather than dollars, OTI is considering several hedging alternatives to reduce the exchange rate risk arising from the sale. To help the firm make a hedging decision you have gathered the following information.
-The spot exchange rate is $1.40/euro
-The six month forward rate is $1.38/euro
-OTI's cost of capital is 11%
-The Euro zone 6-month borrowing rate is 9% (or 4.5% for 6 months)
-The Euro zone 6-month lending rate is 7% (or 3.5% for 6 months)
-The U.S. 6-month borrowing rate is 8% (or 4% for 6 months)
-The U.S. 6-month lending rate is 6% (or 3% for 6 months)
-December call options for euro 625,000; strike price $1.42, premium price is 1.5%
-OTI's forecast for 6-month spot rates is $1.43/euro
-The budget rate, or the highest acceptable purchase price for this project, is $3,625,000 or $1.45/euro
-Refer to Instruction 11.2. If OTI chooses to hedge its transaction exposure in the forward market, it will ________ euro 2,500,000 forward at a rate of ________.
Standard Error of Estimate
A measure of the accuracy of predictions made with a regression line, indicating the typical distance that the observed values fall from the regression line.
Coefficient of Determination
A statistical measure represented by R-squared, indicating the proportion of the variance in the dependent variable predictable from the independent variable(s).
Unexplained Variation
The portion of the total variation in a set of data that cannot be attributed to the variables considered in a study or model.
Unbiased Estimator
A statistic used to estimate a parameter of a population that, on average, exactly equals the true parameter.
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