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Ray Crofford Is Evaluating Investment Alternatives for the $100,000 Which

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Ray Crofford is evaluating investment alternatives for the $100,000 which he inherited from his grandfather. His investment advisor has identified two alternatives and constructed the following tables which show (1) expected profits (in $10,000's) for various market conditions and their probabilities,and (2) the advisor's track record on predicting Bull and Bear markets. Ray Crofford is evaluating investment alternatives for the $100,000 which he inherited from his grandfather. His investment advisor has identified two alternatives and constructed the following tables which show (1) expected profits (in $10,000's) for various market conditions and their probabilities,and (2) the advisor's track record on predicting Bull and Bear markets.   The probability that the advisor predicts a Bull market and the Bull market is the actual condition p(F<sub>1</sub>ᴖS<sub>1) </sub> is ________. A)  0.78 B)  0.9 C)  0.953 D)  0.923 E)  0.72 The probability that the advisor predicts a Bull market and the Bull market is the actual condition p(F1ᴖS1) is ________.


Definitions:

Machinery

Heavy and complex machines or equipment used in various industries for manufacturing, construction, or specific tasks requiring mechanical force.

Book Value

The value of an asset as recorded on the balance sheet, calculated by subtracting any associated depreciation or amortization from its original cost.

Straight-line Method

A depreciation method that allocates an equal amount of the asset's cost to each year of its useful life.

Annual Rate

The rate of interest or growth a financial asset or liability would achieve over a period of one year.

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